If we wish to find guaranteed profitable sports bets then soccer is a great sports to start with. Soccer matches are priced up by all the big bookmakers and some nice guaranteed profitable bets are available if you know where and when to look. Sports bookmakers never miss a trick when thinking up new ways to extract your hard earned money from you and there are many inventive bets on offer.
Soccer can in many ways be about timing. The sooner the cost appears the much more likely you will have a sure-bet or arbitrage opportunity (arb).
Bookmakers clearly do lots of research as soccer has now be a big earner on their behalf. They should accomplish this since they are only too conscious of the serious punters have grown to be much shrewder within this market and can exploit any snippets of news that could provide them with an edge. They advertise heavily in the tabloids.
Whereas in certain minor sports there may be just one single odds compiler employed by the bookmaker soccer is just too lucrative for this particular any many odds compilers will work feverishly setting prices for that big bookmakers. Any European bookmaker worth its salt will provide odds on soccer, its a higher revenue turnover sport.
Such is the turnover on the ever increasing IBO88 that Ladbrokes as well as other such big bookmakers are able to require a ‘big’ bet on the outcome of a match. This can be clearly great news for your arb maker. Which means that the utmost bets they will accept on a bet are many higher.
There are numerous types of soccer bets. Firstly you have the match winner. This really is divided into 3 results, win, lose or draw. Then there are the initial goal scorer as well as the precise match score. The less obvious bets are half-time, full-time results, total corners, total throw-ins, total quantities of yellow and red cards etc. In fact anything where odds can be set to will offer you a betting opportunity.
So that are the best soccer bets to find? Firstly ignore predicting the match score, there are way too many outcomes. The initial goal scorer is a complete waste of time too. Both these sorts of bets are heavily advertised however are for mug punters only, the odds consistently being offered are poor, the bookmakers regularly overtaking 15% profit on the book. These bets have too many possible outcomes. We are searching for bets with ideally 2 or 3 possible outcomes.
The best way to play the soccer industry is to start accounts with European bookmakers as the difference in opinion between UK and European bookmakers is an excellent source of sure bets. Both of them have strong opinions with this sport. They will price the sport in their country and also the matches in foreign countries. Anything to make a profit.
Italy, for example is even more soccer crazy compared to the UK, with newspapers focused on the sport. Everyone thinks they know best on this subject and egos get in the way of sensible pricing. This is great news for all of us. The European bookmakers can be opinionated and where because they may well have greater detailed understanding of the comings and goings in their own individual countries these are depending on third parties to collate info on their foreign counterparts.
One good starting point is at midweek games between groups of different nationalities. You will find a tendency in punters to obtain patriotic when it comes to events in which the opposition are ‘foreign’. The likelihood of your home team get talked up and also the odds could get skewed inside their favour because the weight of money is overly wagered within their direction.
With that said the big bookmakers provide an early price, they will likely often advertise it inside the national papers and in general stick with it. Because of this a bench mark continues to be set and subsequent bookmakers may take a different opinion or attempt to tempt money in their direction by giving different odds. If this were to happen the arb may be available for a great deal of time.
There are always discrepancies in odds but clearly bookmakers have a tendency to stick round the same price. They figure there exists safety in numbers. But bear in mind these are ‘guessing’ just what the odds needs to be just like you and also me. These are basing their opinion on past experience plus they might utilise statistical formulae but they still need to form an opinion on the likely outcome.
They can obtain it wrong as well as other firms can take a totally different view of the result of any game. A totally different view is only going to result in a slight variation within the odds but this can be enough to offer a sure bet profit.
Another approach is first of all the more obscure games in eg. the Spanish, Italian or Norweigen lower divisions. They can have quite lucrative discrepancies. They will be included in a number of different bookmakers around Europe. This may however add a complication. Although quite easy for finding arbs, the mere proven fact that you concentrate on these obscure matches will throw up the possibility that you will get spotted through the bookmakers if you concentrate your action here.
Also they are going to be hesitant to accept high maximum bets on matches where they have done little research. On the other hand it is a training ground for arb spotting and may gain you valuable experience. You need to weigh up the advantages and disadvantages of the strategy.
This can be a fairly obscure section of betting and when someone ended up being to check your bank account over numerous months and found solely these obscure foreign matches on the account it might ring alarm bells. The motto the following is to dilute the bets by betting on as many different type of sport and events as possible so that your accounts have varied bets upon them. This shouldn’t be considered a problem as much different sports are great for sure bets.
The more prominent European ties may also produce arbs and they are generally not as likely to attract attention to you and also the maximum bets will likely be higher.
As before you can not control whether the individual bets win or lose but soccer is a 3 way result and thus 2 losing bets to a single winning one can come in handy on the account. The point here is that not many people are interested in the lower European divisions and it may become clear that this betting pattern is a bit unusual. This is especially true if your bets to the maximum permitted.
Injury news can become a lucrative area in soccer. Consider it. When a player fails a late fitness test over a Saturday and he is the teams star striker then this will greatly affect their chances. Recently Alan Shearer turned as much as play a premiership game for Newcastle but was declared unfit to play in the last minute. Newcastle were soundly beaten. I am not implying this wouldn’t have happened, I don’t know. Nevertheless the odds on the game clearly changed the minute this news broke.
Some bookmakers were alert to this particular and altered prices since the money poured set for the opposition. Some were slow to react or would not have reacted at all. Either way arbs were available. This kind of last minute frantic activity is particularly keen on the betting exchanges like Betfair where you can work as the punter or the bookmaker (lay bets).
You can find injury news through one of the numerous soccer internet sites. Alternatively satellite television channels also have comprehensive news coverage of all the games and therefore are quick to provide any ‘off the press’ news. Slowly the bookmakers’ prices will all change, but not all at the same time, only one after the other so creating sure bets.
In this particular scenario where prices are changing bet on the old price first. The brand new prices are the one that wont change the old cost is the one which is going to and thus may be lost if you are not quick.
To re-emphasise, arb hunting can be all about timing. When the odds are first produced or have reason to change then this arbs are more likely to show up.
Recently the English referees have become more lenient within the issuing of yellow cards. This had an effect on the prices for your total variety of bookings in a game. A number of the bookmakers adjusted their prices accordingly and others failed to. This will impact the bet ranges requested total bookings.
Let’s glance at the red and yellow card market. If you didn’t know the yellow and red cards bet is calculated as 10 points to get a yellow card and 25 points to get a red. A player can obtain a maximum of 35 points in a match (10 25).
The betting is normally divided into 3 ranges. Under 11 points at say odds of 100/30, 11 to 30 points, at 6/4 and also over 30 points, the most likely outcome, at about 11/10. This doesn’t vary much unless there xmjyld a history of animosity between the teams by which case chances are adjusted accordingly.
Usually this kind of bet will never figure strongly in your plans. And it also is unusual to discover information being issued which will affect the total bookings bet. But a basic piece of news like the plan for issuing cards has just changed can affect prices and lead to several arb. The actual final outcome is not to expect a lot of sure betting activity through the issuing of red and yellow cards but it not so difficult to check the percentages.